Webinar December 2021

33 stakeholders and academic experts joined the third SHAPE webinar wich took place on 6th December 2021. Next to stakeholders who had previously participated in the activities of SHAPE's Multi-Stakeholder Dialogue, new people and organisations joined the webinar.

Due to this mixture of established and new stakeholders, the webinar was divided into two parts. The first part was dedicated to introducing the new stakeholders to the project and informing them about the scenario building process for the Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs) and the role of stakeholder dialogue in this process. In the second part of the webinar, the stakeholders were given an overview of the project work in progress, the upcoming stakeholder workshop in April 2022, and the models used in SHAPE.


Welcome & webinar overview (Sarah Cornell, SRC)

Part I - Introducing the SHAPE project to new stakeholders

  • Project overview (Elmar Kriegler, PIK),
  • Process of scenario creation & Multi-Stakeholder Dialogue (Merle Remy, IASS)
  • Q&A

Part II - Catching up on project progress

  • Where are we at now? Giving an update on the work in progress (Sebastian Rauner, PIK)
  • Next step in our Dialogue: 2nd Multi-Stakeholder Workshop (Ana Paula Aguiar, SRC)
  • Introducing the model integration in SHAPE & model coverage of the SDGs (Sebastian Rauner, PIK; Vassilis Daioglou, UU; Bas van Ruijven, IIASA)
  • Q&A


06 December 2021 - New and established stakeholders were invited to the third Shape webinar to learn more about the project, its current work progress and the upcoming multi-stakeholder workshop in April 2022 (week of 4-8 April, details to be provided).

The first part of the webinar focussed on a general project overview, the scenario building process for the Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs), and the related Multi-Stakeholder Dialogue. In the Shape project, a new set of target-seeking scenarios, the SDPs, are developed that show pathways of how to reach the Agenda 2030’s SDGs and to maintain sustainable development thereafter to meet the Paris climate goals.

The narratives of the new scenarios were developed together with a group of stakeholders from governance, business and civil society as well as academic experts. Based on a branching-point approach (Aguiar et al. 2020), the narratives consist of different scenario building blocks - called dimensions and branches - which cover economic, socio-political, technological and lifestyle aspects. The dimensions and branches facilitate the discussion about aspects of sustainable development and the integration of divergent views into scenarios. They are then combined into comprehensive narratives. Three exemplary narratives that are explored in Shape emphasize for example a market-driven approach, a community-driven approach or a governance-driven approach.

The webinar was also the first opportunity to feature short informational videos to a broader audience where viewers can learn more about the approach that was taken to build the SDP narratives and three (out of five) narratives that were developed.

While the first phase of the Multi-Stakeholder Dialogue concentrated on the co-development of the new scenario narratives, the second phase of the dialogue will put a focus on the SDP scenario results. In a workshop in April 2022, in-depth discussions are envisioned for example on different key strategies embedded in the SDPs, more specific regional insights or take-aways for certain sectors.

Responding to feedback from our stakeholders who had already previously been involved in the dialogue, the second part of the webinar also informed about the models used in Shape, and the quantification process of the SDP narratives. Three different Integrated Assessment Models (IAM) - IMAGE, MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM, REMIND-MAgPIE, and industrial ecology models - EXIOfuture+ODYM-RECC - are used in Shape. The models cover global environmental change, energy and land use, energy-economy and land use, as well as material flows. Running the SDP scenarios with the different models allows to compare and contrast outcomes and to benchmark them against specific sustainability indicators and SDG targets. Some of these results from the modelling exercises are planned to be discussed in the upcoming multi-stakeholder workshop in April 2022.

During the webinar two Q&A sessions provided the opportunity for participants to ask questions and for the Shape consortium to give answers. We thank everyone for their valuable contributions and hope to meet again in the workshop scheduled for the week 4-8 April 2022 (details to be provided).

If you have not been involved previously but are interested in participating in the workshop on first SDP modelling results, please do not hesitate to contact us!

If you are interested to learn more about the models, you can find further information following these links:

IMAGE: www.pbl.nl/image

MESSAGE: https://iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/researchPrograms/Energy/MESSAGE.en.html

REMIND-MAgPIE: https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/institute/departments/transformation-pathways/models/remind