Final conference

New Sustainable Development pathways reflecting different societal perspectives

Virtual event on 16 February 2023, 10 - 17:15 Central European Time

Achieving the Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) set out in the Agenda 2030 requires holistic Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs) that maximise synergies and avoid, minimise or compensate for trade-offs. The orientation towards this much broader target space challenges the IAM community to broaden their previous scope considerably. The SHAPE Project has addressed this gap by aiming at creating and modelling a set of Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs) with multiple integrated assessment models. The project’s multi-method approach involved a co-creative narrative design process, as well as analyses of governance, equity and material flows.
The programme comprised two main blocks: In the morning session, the overarching project results and their implications were presented and discussed with representatives from politics, business and civil society. In the topic-specific afternoon sessions, project results and reflections of the inter- and transdisciplinary co-creation process of the project were presented in more detail. 



New Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs) - What are they, and what are they good for?


Welcome (Elmar Kriegler, PIK; PI of the SHAPE project)


Sustainable development pathways in a fragmenting world: Opportunities and challenges (Johan Rockström, PIK)


Implementing a pathway towards sustainable development
(Panel discussion. Moderation: Elmar Kriegler; Panellists: R. Alexander Roehrl (UN), Laura Parisi (ECB), Caroline Makasa (SDG Center for Africa), Prabhat Upadhyaya (formerly WWF SA)


New Sustainable Development pathways reflecting different societal perspectives. Key results from the SHAPE project (Björn Sörgel, PIK)


Sustainable development pathways - Where do we need to go and how to get there?
Comments from the SHAPE advisory board: Vaibhav Chaturvedi (CEEW), Zoi Vrontisi (E3M))



SHAPE results - development of the SDPs, details, implications


Session 1: Co-design of sustainable development pathways (Mod.: Sarah Cornell, SRC)

Welcome and introduction (Sarah Cornell, SRC)

SHAPE’s approach to co-creating the SDPs: key stakeholder contributions and the co-creation process (Merle Remy, RIFS)

Stakeholder reflections on process, content, community-building, relevance
(comments by Eric Kemp-Benedict (SEI), Eva Söbbeke (German Central Bank), Isabelle Weindl (PIK), and Gabriela Iacobuta (IDOS)


Session 2: Land-water-energy nexus and industrial metabolism (Mod.: Detlef van Vuuren, UU)

Climate-Land-Energy-Water (CLEW) nexus synergies and trade-offs in the SDPs and how they compare with the SSP-RCP scenario matrix
(Presentation by Vassilis Daioglou, PBL; Comment by Roberto Schaeffer, UFRJ)

Contributions of resource efficiency to sustainable development
(Presentation by Edgar Hertwich, NTNU; Comment by Julia Okatz, SYSTEMIQ)


Session 3: Reducing inequality (Mod.: Bas van Ruijven, IIASA)

Projections of inequality in the SDPs
(Presentation by Jihoon Min, IIASA; Comment by Adrien Fabre, CNRS)

Assessing energy needs and energy inequality in the SDPs
(Presentation by Jarmo Kikstra, IIASA and Imperial College London; Comment by Joel Millward Hopkins, University of Leeds)


Session 4: Governing the transformation (Mod.: Ines Dombrowsky, IDOS)

Key assumptions on global and domestic governance in the SHAPE narratives, scenarios and models (Ariel Hernandez, IDOS)

SHAPE SDPs in terms of governance modes and policy mixes (Gabriela Iacobuta, IDOS)

Reflections on the governance aspects of the SHAPE scenarios
(by Julia Leininger, IDOS, and Déborah García-Luna, Voluntad Organizada A.C., Mexico)


Final discussion and Wrap-up (Elmar Kriegler, PIK)